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Type of publication:Inproceedings
Entered by:NW
TitleEnhancing Robustness in Multi-criteria Decision-Making: A Scenario-Based Approach
Bibtex cite IDcomes_incos_2010
Booktitle INCOS 2010 International Conference on Intelligent Networking and Collaborative Systems
Year published 2010
Month November
Pages 484-489
URL http://doi.ieeecomputersociety.org/10.1109/INCOS.2010.16
DOI 10.1109/incos.2010.16
Keywords Distributed Decision Support,Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA),Scenarios,Uncertainty,Robustness
Abstract
This paper presents a distributed system facilitating robust decision-making under uncertainty in complex situations often found in strategic emergency management. The construction of decision-relevant scenarios, each being a consistent, coherent and plausible description of a situation and its future development, is used as a rationale for collecting, organizing, filtering and processing information for decision-making. The construction of scenarios is targeted at assessing decision alternatives avoiding time-consuming processing of irrelevant information. The scenarios are constructed in a distributed setting ensuring that each decision can be founded on a coherent and consistent set of assessments and assumptions provided by the best (human or artificial) experts available within limited time. Our theoretical framework is illustrated by means of an emergency management example.
Authors
Comes, Tina
Hiete, Michael
Wijngaards, Niek
Schultmann, Frank
Topics
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