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Type of publication:Article
Entered by:NW
TitleDecision Maps: A framework for multi-criteria decision support under severe uncertainty
Bibtex cite IDcomes_2011_DSS
Journal Decision Support Systems
Year published 2011
Month December
Volume 52
Number 1
Pages 108-118
URL http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167923611001163
DOI doi:10.1016/j.dss.2011.05.008
Keywords Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA),Scenario-Based Reasoning (SBR),robust decision-making,distributed reasoning,multi-agent systems,strategic emergency management
Abstract
In complex strategic decision-making situations the need for well-structured support arises. To evaluate decision alternatives, information about the situation and its development must be determined, managed and processed by the best available experts. For various types of information different reasoning principles have been developed: deterministic, probabilistic, fuzzy and techniques for reasoning under ignorance (i.e., the likelihood of an event cannot be quantified). We propose a new approach based on Decision Maps supporting decision makers under fundamental uncertainty by generating descriptions of different possible situation developments (scenarios) in a distributed manner. The scenarios are evaluated using Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis techniques.
Authors
Comes, Tina
Hiete, Michael
Schultmann, Frank
Wijngaards, Niek
Topics
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